Learn to create a yield curve in Excel and understand its implications for interest rate forecasting. Follow our simple guide ...

America celebrated Independence Day with a bang in the stock market this week, as we witnessed record numbers yet again. This impressive performance coincided with a rally in the back end of the yield ...

The “experts” talk about how the U.S. Treasury Curve is currently “inverted.” What does that mean, and should it matter to lenders? The fact is, the yield curve (a graphical representation of yields, ...

The US 10-year Treasury yield has been below the 3-month yield since November 2022. This rare yield inversion has preceded each recession since 1982, with no false signals. In past cycles, the US Fed ...

An inverted yield curve indicates short-term rates exceed long-term, suggesting economic caution. Historically, consistent negative spreads on this curve have preceded recessions. Investors might ...

There’s been a major change in one of the bond market’s favorite indicators: the yield curve. After roughly two years of “inversion,” yields are now behaving like they do most of the time, with longer ...

The yield curve typically slopes up and to the right, with longer-dated bonds sporting higher yields than short-term Treasury bills. A historic yield-curve inversion may spell trouble for the U.S.